WouldnÕt you know my accountant talked me
into liquidating all my investments—401k and all—last spring when
the Dow was around 8,000. Good thing I hardly had anything left to bother with
anyway.
As the stock market approaches 10,000 again,
I wonder, ÒHow long?Ó Just this past July Jordan warned us in his series of ÒWinterÓ
seminars that with the economy Òthere will be a little dead-cat bounce—weÕre
going through it right now—and
then in the Fall of Õ09 there will be the real the dead-cat bounce when the dead
cat goes back down and doesnÕt bounce back up.Ó
Jordan had started this particular study by
giving us a synopsis of sorts on demographic trends guru Harry S. DentÕs latest
book, ÒThe Great Depression Ahead; How to Prosper in the Crash Following the Greatest
Boom in History.Ó
ÒIn the year 2000, Dent took this
generational cycle weÕve been talking about and applied it to economics, wrote
a book he called ÔThe Roaring 2000sÕ, and said the decade of the 2000s is going
to be just like the decade of the Õ20s.
ÒIn 2000, he predicted the economic collapse
in the Fall of Õ08. HeÕs predicting that this is going be the biggest decade in
any of our memories economically. HeÕs saying the current economic distresses
wonÕt be over until 2019. Why? Because it took it that long before to get over.
He said thereÕll be an Oct. 1929 crash—we had that—and there will
be massive government intervention that will do no good.
ÒWeÕre going to see that thatÕs true.
Employment back then was 25%; heÕs predicting it will be 12% this time. Dent
takes that kind of understanding and says, ÔOkay, this is what it was like then—the
massive infusement of government money, massive infusement of government takeover
of the economy, the massive infusement of the social welfare program.Õ
ÒIn the Õ30s, the big government takeover
was Social Security. ÔWeÕre going to take care of your retirement!Õ Now what
are they going to take over? Health care! You can beat your chest all you want
to about how, ÔWe wonÕt let it happen!Õ and youÕll just be like the birds back
there. IÕm sorry. You can expect it to repeat itself.Ó
*****
Throughout the Bible are verses indicative
of the fact that the way God set things up to operate is cyclical. Life is to
function in cycles that are designed to be seasonal.
As Genesis 8:22 guarantees, ÒWhile the earth
remaineth, seedtime and harvest, and cold and heat, and summer and winter, and
day and night shall not cease.
In one of SolomonÕs most oft-quoted passages—lifted
wholesale for the Byrds rock classic ÒTurn! Turn! Turn!Ó—the Old
TestamentÕs great sage of wisdom writes in his unparalleled masterpiece on
philosophy, the Book of Ecclesiastes, ÒTo every thing there is a season, and a
time to every purpose under the heaven:
[2] A time to be born, and a time to die; a time to plant, and a time to
pluck up that which is planted;
[3] A time to kill, and a time to heal; a time to break down, and a time
to build up;
[4] A time to weep, and a time to laugh; a time to mourn, and a time to
dance;
[5] A time to cast away stones, and a time to gather stones together; a
time to embrace, and a time to refrain from embracing;
[6] A time to get, and a time to lose; a time to keep, and a time to
cast away;
[7] A time to rend, and a time to sew; a time to keep silence, and a
time to speak;
[8] A time to love, and a time to hate; a time of war, and a time of
peace.Ó
Jordan explains, ÒThe basic fundamental
cycle of life lasts for about 80-100 years and itÕs going to match the phases
of humans life. Your life goes through certain seasons—childhood, young
adult, mid-life, eldership—and the seasons of your life are what cause
the culture around you to have a seasonal impact. Within your life of a season
and in the culture around you, there are other cycles that get involved there.
ÒFor years I looked at the verse in Genesis
8: 22 about Ôsummer and winter, hot and cold,Õ and thought, ÔWell, thatÕs
saying the same thing isnÕt it?Õ and I tried to figure out why in the world he
would repeat himself that way. Finally
it dawned on me heÕs telling you thereÕs going to be more than one cycle inside
of another cycle. In other words, youÕre going to have cycles that work inside
of other cycles.Ó
*****
When looking at the seasons of a nation, the
key to remember is that when the season begins, it develops a personality based
on the particular generation coming into adulthood or Òcoming of age.Ó
Jordan explains, ÒWhen you get over into
wintertime, the wars are all decisive—theyÕre fought to a massive
conclusion—and the conclusion changes everything in the nation, and when
you come of age in that time of spiritual upheaval, thatÕs what gives your
generation its personality.
ÒWe
older folks like to say, ÔIf things keep going the way theyÕre going, weÕre
going to hell in a hand basket,Õ but they donÕt. If one generation goes along
like this, what does the next generation do? How do your kids respond when you
tell them to do something? They go, ÔYou said do A; I think IÕll try B.Õ Ó
*****
The catalyst for our current move from
summer to winter was 9/11 and the event immediately changed the psyche of the
nation, if not so much the overall economy.
Jordan says, ÒIt was a change like Dec. 7,
1941. It was a change like Oct. 9, 1929. It was a change like a day in November,
1860. It was like a day in July of 1776. WeÕve been here before.
ÒThe key to understanding whatÕs ahead is to
understand whatÕs behind and the reason the cycles are important is because
time isnÕt made up of a dot or a line; itÕs made up of a dot and a line thatÕs
drawn in a circle.
ÒIf you lose the dot, you lose the moment.
You lose personal accountability for your life. But if you lose the line, youÕre
not going anywhere, because if youÕre in the dot, youÕre just there—you
got no goals, you got no movement, no cause, no effect. ItÕs just existence.
ÒYou put a lot of dots together and youÕve
got a line. But if all you have is a line, you go from here to there. ThatÕs
the way the Western world thinks. ThatÕs the way Gentiles think. From here to
there we make progression.
ÒYou get value systems from that. ThatÕs
where you get the idea of ownership of property and so forth. People who live
in the chaotic point of a dot, they have no concept of property ownership.
There are whole cultures that live in that pattern of time.
ÒThe generation in the summer is going to
respond in an opposite direction from the generation in the spring. ThatÕs
going to make the line bend. The generation in the fall is going to respond to
the generation in the summer the same way.
ÒIf you keep bending the line, you get a
circle. The key to the circle thing is it helps you perceive where you are. If
IÕm in the spring here, then the fall, then the winter, what comes after
winter? Spring. If I want to know what spring is like, do I look at the season
I just got out of? I look at the season IÕm in.
ÒIf everything thatÕs ever gonna happen is
like in wintertime, or whatÕs like in summer, which is what we just got out of
and itÕs what youÕre most familiar with because you just lived through 20 years
of it . . . some of you have never
lived in any season but summer in your conscious memory. Now, a few of you have
lived through a winter before but you have to be over 75 years old.
ÒWhen they were last in the winter, they
were in childhood, but now in their eldership they will have some memory. You
see, the way it works is we get to go through each season once in our life.
ÒThe most exciting, the most decisive, the
most powerful season of the whole cycle is winter. It changes everything. ItÕs
where everything is determined for the next cycle. ThatÕs why winter is so
critical and so wonderful.
ÒAnd my own personal, private, subjective,
personal prejudice is IÕm glad IÕll be in my eldership when I go through it. IÕm
glad I wonÕt be a child. IÕd be happy if I was in mid-life, but IÕm really
satisfied to be moving into eldership because thereÕs a ÔconstellationÕ of
where people are in wintertime that allows the people in eldership to have
really the real impact that elders are designed to have. Every other season
fights them.Ó
*****
Jordan continues, ÒWhat makes winter is the arrangement of the Ôcohort constellations.Õ
If I want to know what winterÕs going to be like, I donÕt want to make the
mistake of looking at summer or at fall. ThatÕs what everybodyÕs doing today! ItÕs
that mentality of, ÔExcept those days should be shortened, there should no flesh be saved.Õ (Matt. 24:22)
ÒThereÕs not a politician I can find—I
donÕt find sociologists, only one or two economists, nobody in the church, and,
God help us, nobody in what we call Ôevangelical fundamentalismÕ! You know
where evangelicalism gets their ideas? Contemporary Christian music. ItÕs the 1980s
version of rock music. TheyÕre 25 years late. TheyÕre so yesterday. TheyÕre so
last century!
ÒIf I want to know what winter is going to
be like, I need to go look at the last wintertime, not the last season or the
season IÕm in! Our tendency naturally is to think everythingÕs going to be like
the season weÕre in, especially when youÕre at the end of a season, because for
20 years itÕs been this way and we have a short attention span.
ÒI actually hear people on the radio pining
for Ronald Reagan. That was the last turning; the early Õ80s, when we turned
from summer to fall. And itÕs whatÕs called Ôan American high.Õ People have absolutely no idea why—they
think it was Ronnie and his Reaganomics or whatever it was he did. That had
nothing to do with it! He could have been blind and couldnÕt see out of the
other and the same things were going to happen that happened!
ÒEvery fall season is identified as Ôculture
wars.Õ You know that? The greatest culture wars in our history didnÕt take
place in the Õ80s and Õ90s; they took place in the 1800s.
ÒIf you look at the events that sparked
previous winters—the American Revolution, the Civil War, WW II—what
element is the same in all three of those titles? War. The wintertime is a dangerous
time.
ÒWars are fought in every season, but wars
fought in springtime are generally fought to a standoff and donÕt come to any
resolution. Look at the Korean War or the War of 1812.
ÒWars in the summertime are wars that are
pointless. After their fought, you canÕt figure out what you were fighting for.
Vietnam. The Spanish-American War. Why did we need the Philippines? You donÕt
even remember thatÕs what the Spanish-American War was about, do you?Ó
*****
What is most inspiring to me when looking at
my churchÕs future ministry potential in Chicago is that JordanÕs predecessor,
J.C. OÕHair, made his mark as a national figure—complete with a daily
radio show that still stands as the longest-running radio program next to Amos
and Andy!—during the last winter.
OÕHair came to Chicago around 1920 and was
made the leader of North Shore Church at the corner of Wilson Avenue and
Sheridan Road in 1923. The heyday of the OÕHair Era was from 1929-1946 and he died
in 1958 at 82 years old. Shorewood Bible Church is the inheritor of the North
Shore legacy at gets its name from the merging of North Shore and Norwood Bible
Church.
ÒPeople say, ÔBoy, thereÕs never been a day
for the Grace Movement in America like the OÕHair era,Õ but do you realize his
ministry was in the last winter?Ó says Jordan.